11
181 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will there be universal basic income?

25%chance
Top Key Factors
redistribution of wealth
Increases Likelihood
well being of people
Increases Likelihood
Deployment of AGI-powered public administration
Increases Likelihood
Framing UBI as human flourishing, not survival
Increases Likelihood
Political inertia and legislative lag
Increases Likelihood
Redistribution of wealth movements
Increases Likelihood