Question

Five years after AGI, will there be universal basic income?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters76

Community Prediction

20%

(10% - 38%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Jul 22, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2036

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2036

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 23, 2024

Five Years After AGI

Economy & Business

Artificial Intelligence

Democratize AI or Make the AI Oligarchy an Inevitability

Jacobin•Jun 22, 2025

Can AI Make Us Happier?

Psychology Today•Jun 20, 2025

Sam Altman says he was largely right in predicting how quickly AI would develop — but not how people would react

Business Insider•Jun 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US, UK, China, or any of the countries in the EU enact a universal basic income before 2030?

Will a Guaranteed Minimum Income be introduced in any EU country before 2041?

72%

Five years after AGI, will an AI Windfall Clause have been activated?

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Jul 22, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2036

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2036

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 23, 2024

Five Years After AGI

Economy & Business

Artificial Intelligence

Democratize AI or Make the AI Oligarchy an Inevitability

Jacobin•Jun 22, 2025

Can AI Make Us Happier?

Psychology Today•Jun 20, 2025

Sam Altman says he was largely right in predicting how quickly AI would develop — but not how people would react

Business Insider•Jun 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US, UK, China, or any of the countries in the EU enact a universal basic income before 2030?

Will a Guaranteed Minimum Income be introduced in any EU country before 2041?

72%