conditional

Make a Prediction

Will Dems have brokered convention in 2024?

2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee? (Kamala Harris)

50%
community: 99%

What was the final result? Yes

Community Baseline Score
94.7
Community Peer Score
0.8

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
Opened:Jul 8, 2024
Closes:Aug 6, 2024
Resolves:Sep 1, 2024