44 comments
644 forecasters
Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 27, 2016
Closes:Dec 31, 2019
Resolved:Jan 4, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 27, 2016
Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?
0.5% chance
65
Will mainstream news media report that alien technology has visited our solar system before 2030?
1% chance
257
When will the first evidence of extraterrestrial life be discovered?
Feb 2053
(Aug 2036 - 2148)
Feb 2053
(Aug 2036 - 2148)
165 forecasters