Question
Five years after AGI, what will be humanity’s energy consumption?
Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction
455k TWh
(255k TWh - 1.15M TWh)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<50k TWh | 5.0% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 254.8k TWh | — |
median | 454.6k TWh | — |
upper 75% | 1.155M TWh | — |
Upper bound | ||
>100M TWh | 7.9% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jul 22, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 23, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Jul 22, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 23, 2024