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54 comments
163 forecasters

Will a S&P500 tech boom surpass the dotcom bubble for one quarter or more before 2025?

65%chance
65%chance
ResolvedYes
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 65% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Authors:
Tamay
Opened:Mar 27, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolved:Aug 13, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 28, 2019
Economy & Business
Technology
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
🏆 2016-2025 Leaderboard
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Will the bubble in the Magnificent Seven pop before 2026?

2% chance
118

What will be the sector weighting of the Technology and Communication Services Sector in the S&P 500 on January 1, 2027?

0.514%
(0.415 - >0.7)
0.514%
(0.415 - >0.7)
5 forecasters

What inflation-adjusted return will the Vanguard Information Technology ETF yield from 2021-2040 if AGI arrives by 2040, in percentage points?

1691%
(346 - 10.6k)
1691%
(346 - 10.6k)
27 forecasters
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