Question
Question
What will the necessary computational power to replicate human mental capability turn out to be?
Total Forecasters123
Community Prediction1.2×10¹⁷
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My Prediction
community<1×10¹²
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1×10²⁶
...
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...
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7.4%
3.9×10¹⁴
1.2×10¹⁷
3.2×10¹⁹
4.5%
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