Question

When will the Spanish Wikipedia have 4 million articles?

Total Forecasters3
Community Prediction
>Jul 2040
(Nov 2038 - >Jul 2040)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<21 Aug 20240.1%
Quartiles
lower 25%Nov 2038
median>Jul 2040
upper 75%>Jul 2040
Upper bound
>Jul 204064.8%
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 26, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2028
Scheduled resolution:Jul 21, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 27, 2024