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Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic nomination?
Andrew Yang (Wikipedia) is a democratic candidate for president known, among other things, for proposing a Universal Basic Income dubbed the "Freedom Dividend" and a focus on the impact of automation on jobs.
He's relatively young for a presidential candidate, with an entrepreneurial background and an extensive policy platform. Including everything from single-payer healthcare to a "carbon fee and dividend" and the legalization of marijuana.
The Washington Post wrote a piece showing evidence of his growing support: "Andrew Yang is running for president. Haven’t heard of him? You will soon."
Nate Silver has also been tweeting about it (11 March 2019):
As can be seen on PredictIt.
But can Yang, a complete outsider, really grab the nomination? We will see.
This resolves positive if Yang is nominated by the Democratic party to be the official candidate for the presidency by the end of 2020.
Metaculus help: Predicting
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Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.
Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.
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When you make a prediction, check the community stats to see where you land. If your prediction is an outlier, might there be something you're overlooking that others have seen? Or do you have special insight that others are lacking? Either way, it might be a good idea to join the discussion in the comments.