Your submission is now in Draft mode.

Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

Submit Essay

Once you submit your essay, you can no longer edit it.

Pending

This content now needs to be approved by community moderators.

Submitted

This essay was submitted and is waiting for review.

Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic nomination?

Question

Andrew Yang (Wikipedia) is a democratic candidate for president known, among other things, for proposing a Universal Basic Income dubbed the "Freedom Dividend" and a focus on the impact of automation on jobs.

He's relatively young for a presidential candidate, with an entrepreneurial background and an extensive policy platform. Including everything from single-payer healthcare to a "carbon fee and dividend" and the legalization of marijuana.

The Washington Post wrote a piece showing evidence of his growing support: "Andrew Yang is running for president. Haven’t heard of him? You will soon."

Nate Silver has also been tweeting about it (11 March 2019):

"Prediction markets think Andrew Yang has approximately the same chance of winning the Democratic nomination (~4%) as Warren, Klobuchar or Booker."

As can be seen on PredictIt.

But can Yang, a complete outsider, really grab the nomination? We will see.

This resolves positive if Yang is nominated by the Democratic party to be the official candidate for the presidency by the end of 2020.

Categories:
Politics – US

Make a Prediction

Prediction

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.