Question

Will the UK leave the EU without a deal by April 12th?

Resolved:No

40 comments40

Total Forecasters104

Community Prediction

10%

(7% - 15%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 10%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

47.7

Community Peer Score

19.3

Authors:

Pshyeah

Opened:

Mar 28, 2019

Closes:

Apr 9, 2019

Resolves:

Apr 12, 2019

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 28, 2019

Politics

2019 Leaderboard

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

13%

When will the United Kingdom apply to rejoin the EU?

Oct 2038

Authors:

Pshyeah

Opened:

Mar 28, 2019

Closes:

Apr 9, 2019

Resolves:

Apr 12, 2019

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 28, 2019

Politics

2019 Leaderboard

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

13%

When will the United Kingdom apply to rejoin the EU?

Oct 2038