Question
Five years after AGI, how many animals will be slaughtered in factory farms?
Total Forecasters21
Community Prediction
89.1B billion animals
(60.6B billion animals - 119B billion animals)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <4B | 4.1% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 60.6B | — |
| median | 89.07B | — |
| upper 75% | 118.7B | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >150B | 14.7% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 27, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 28, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Jul 27, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 28, 2024