Question

Will Iran carry out a deadly attack within Israel before September 1, 2024?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters222
Community Prediction
0.5%
(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
73.6
Community Peer Score
36.3
Opened:Aug 5, 2024
Closes:Sep 1, 2024
Resolves:Sep 4, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 7, 2024