Question
If Israel invades Lebanon before October 1, 2024, will there be 1000 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before October 1, 2024?
Resolved:AmbiguousTotal Forecasters31
Community Prediction
65%
(38.4% - 76.7%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?Ambiguous
Authors:
Opened:Aug 5, 2024
Closes:Aug 6, 2024
Resolves:Oct 2, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 6, 2024
Include Bots:Yes
Authors:
Opened:Aug 5, 2024
Closes:Aug 6, 2024
Resolves:Oct 2, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 6, 2024
Include Bots:Yes
