M

Question

If Israel does not invade Lebanon before October 1, 2024, will there be 1000 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before October 1, 2024?

Resolved :Ambiguous
Total Forecasters32
Community Prediction39%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 38.7%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

median 38.7%mean 45.3%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%

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