Question
If Israel does not invade Lebanon before October 1, 2024, will there be 1000 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before October 1, 2024?
Resolved:AmbiguousTotal Forecasters32
Community Prediction
38.7%
(35% - 60%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?Ambiguous
Authors:
Opened:Aug 5, 2024
Closes:Aug 6, 2024
Resolves:Oct 2, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 6, 2024
Include Bots:Yes
Authors:
Opened:Aug 5, 2024
Closes:Aug 6, 2024
Resolves:Oct 2, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 6, 2024
Include Bots:Yes
