Question

Will Iran carry out a deadly attack within Israel before September 1, 2024?

Resolved:No
54
Total Forecasters33
Community Prediction
48.3%
(30% - 56.7%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 48.3%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
0.0
Community Peer Score
0.0
Authors:
Tom_Metaculus
Opened:Aug 6, 2024
Closes:Aug 7, 2024
Resolves:Sep 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 7, 2024
Include Bots:Yes
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