Question

Will the US Federal Reserve make an emergency rate cut before September 17, 2024?

Resolved:No

6 comments6

Total Forecasters90

Community Prediction

0.2%

(0.1% - 0.5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

97.4

Community Peer Score

13.9

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Aug 6, 2024

Closes:

Sep 16, 2024

Resolves:

Sep 20, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 9, 2024

🏆 Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Economy & Business

2024 Leaderboard

Labor Market Risks Might Prompt Fed To Cut Rates Faster Than Planned

Forbes•Jun 21, 2025

Fed keeps rates steady, but sees fewer cuts next year on stagflation concerns

•Jun 19, 2025

Fed keeps rates steady, but sees fewer cuts next year on stagflation concerns

•Jun 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024?

78%

Will a new Federal Open Markets Committee member be appointed before any member's term is over and before January 20, 2029?

75%

What will the US effective fed funds rate be in the following years?

4.02

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Aug 6, 2024

Closes:

Sep 16, 2024

Resolves:

Sep 20, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 9, 2024

🏆 Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Economy & Business

2024 Leaderboard

Labor Market Risks Might Prompt Fed To Cut Rates Faster Than Planned

Forbes•Jun 21, 2025

Fed keeps rates steady, but sees fewer cuts next year on stagflation concerns

•Jun 19, 2025

Fed keeps rates steady, but sees fewer cuts next year on stagflation concerns

•Jun 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024?

78%

Will a new Federal Open Markets Committee member be appointed before any member's term is over and before January 20, 2029?

75%

What will the US effective fed funds rate be in the following years?

4.02