Question

What will be the total number of refugees from Sudan in neighboring countries by the end of December 2024?

Resolved:3.171054M

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Total Forecasters5

Community Prediction

2.96M

(2.79M - 3.14M)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	2.788M	2.956M	3.141M
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	2.788M	—
median	2.956M	—
upper 75%	3.141M	—

What was the final result?3.171054M

Community Baseline Score

40.8

Community Peer Score

5.0

Authors:

MAD2

Opened:

Aug 14, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2025

Resolves:

Jan 11, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 17, 2024

Sudan Community

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