Question
How much will be pledged on the Metaculus Patreon on its halfaversary?
Resolved:51Total Forecasters35
Community Prediction
129
(83.7 - 212)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <10 | 1.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 83.67 | — |
| median | 128.6 | — |
| upper 75% | 212.3 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >50k | 0.3% | — |
What was the final result?51
Community Baseline Score
21.6
Community Peer Score
17.7
Authors:
Opened:Apr 3, 2019
Closes:Jul 14, 2019
Resolves:Jul 24, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 5, 2019
Authors:
Opened:Apr 3, 2019
Closes:Jul 14, 2019
Resolves:Jul 24, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 5, 2019