Question

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before Sept 30, 2024?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction
9.5%
(4% - 15%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 9.5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
0.0
Community Peer Score
0.0
Opened:Aug 14, 2024
Closes:Aug 15, 2024
Resolves:Sep 30, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 15, 2024
Include Bots:Yes