64 comments
30 forecasters
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before Sept 30, 2024?
9.5%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 10% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Aug 14, 2024
Closes:Aug 15, 2024
Resolved:Sep 30, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 15, 2024
Include Bots:Yes