Question
If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?
Resolved :Annulled1.11Total Forecasters11
Community Prediction1.11 (0.541 - 2.35)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<0.1 | 4.7% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 0.5407 | — |
median | 1.109 | — |
upper 75% | 2.352 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>30 | 1.4% | — |
What was the final result?Annulled
Authors:
Opened:Aug 13, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 13, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025