M

Question

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

Resolved :Annulled1.11
Total Forecasters11
Community Prediction1.11 (0.541 - 2.35)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<0.14.7%
Quartiles
lower 25%0.5407
median1.109
upper 75%2.352
Upper bound
>301.4%

What was the final result?Annulled

Opened:Aug 13, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025

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