Question

Will Yahya Sinwar cease to be the acting Chairman of the Hamas Political Bureau in 2024?

Resolved :Yes

26 comments26

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction

99.9%

(57.9% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99.9%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-28.7

Community Peer Score

4.6

Authors:

Mr.Outlook johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Aug 17, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2025

Resolves:

Jan 2, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 20, 2024

Israel Eliminates Dozens Of Top Hamas Leaders Following Ceasefire Collapse

Daily Wire•Mar 25, 2025

Israel Defense Forces Push Farther Into Gaza, Take Out Senior Hamas Leader

Red State•Mar 24, 2025

Israeli airstrike kills Hamas official as Gaza death toll passes 50,000

USA Today•Mar 23, 2025

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