🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many cases of measles will be recorded in the United States for the year 2020?

Resolved :Below lower bound250
12
35
Total Forecasters81
Community Prediction...

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<250
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2.5k
...
...
...
...
...
55.3%
<250
<250
341.4
0.8%

What was the final result?Below lower bound

Community Baseline Score
21.0
Community Peer Score
82.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2016-2020 Leaderboard
Infectious disease
United States
Measles
Medicine
Immunology
Virology
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

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