Question

How many cases of measles will be recorded in the United States for the year 2020?

Resolved:Below lower bound
Total Forecasters81
Community Prediction
<250
(<250 - 341)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<25055.3%
Quartiles
lower 25%<250
median<250
upper 75%341.4
Upper bound
>25000.8%

What was the final result?Below lower bound

Community Baseline Score
21.0
Community Peer Score
82.3
Authors:
Opened:Apr 29, 2019
Closes:Apr 30, 2020
Resolves:Jan 3, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:May 1, 2019