Question
How many cases of measles will be recorded in the United States for the year 2020?
Resolved:Below lower boundTotal Forecasters81
Community Prediction
<250
(<250 - 341)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<250 | 55.3% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | <250 | — |
median | <250 | — |
upper 75% | 341.4 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>2500 | 0.8% | — |
What was the final result?Below lower bound
Community Baseline Score
21.0
Community Peer Score
82.3
Authors:
Opened:Apr 29, 2019
Closes:Apr 30, 2020
Resolves:Jan 3, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:May 1, 2019
Authors:
Opened:Apr 29, 2019
Closes:Apr 30, 2020
Resolves:Jan 3, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:May 1, 2019