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41 forecasters

41 forecasters

🏆 Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Will Kamala Harris say "artificial intelligence" or "AI" in her 2024 Democratic National Convention keynote speech?

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14 comments64 forecasters

POTUS Address AI X-Risk

11 comments240 forecasters

Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Gavin Newsom25.9%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez10.4%

Pete Buttigieg7.2%

21 comments814 forecasters

ΑI safety law enacted in the US in 2026?

2 comments118 forecasters

AI-authored paper published at NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR before 2028?

1 comment33 forecasters

AI moratorium BBB

1 comment167 forecasters

AI safety checks mandated before Jan 20, 2029?

5 comments30 forecasters

Will a woman be elected US president by 2044?

2 comments78 forecasters

By 2035, will NIH, ERC, NSF, or Horizon require AI use reporting in grants?