19 forecasters

Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?

United Kingdomresult: Yes

United Statesresult: Yes

Zambiaresult: Yes

United Kingdom

United States

Zambia

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 16, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolved:

Feb 27, 2025

Health & Pandemics

🏆 2024 Leaderboard

Mpox strain surfaces in US without international travel, raising fears of wider outbreak

FOX News•Oct 23, 2025

California records more local cases of new deadlier mpox strain as expert warns virus could spread to more states

Daily Mail•Oct 23, 2025

Three cases of severe mpox reported in California, health officials say

Guardian•Oct 21, 2025

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