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21 comments
19 forecasters

Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?

United Kingdomresult: Yes
United Statesresult: Yes
Zambiaresult: Yes
Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:Aug 16, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolved:Feb 27, 2025
Health & Pandemics
2024 Leaderboard
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How many wild polio cases will be detected by the World Health Organization in the following years?

2024
Above upper bound
2025
>30
2027
25.9
3 others
3 forecasters

When will these diseases be eradicated according to the WHO?

Lymphatic filariasis (elephantiasis)
>Jan 2050
Malaria
Mar 2047
Measles
Dec 2043
6 others
4 forecasters

Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?

2% chance
253
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