Question

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine RyanBeck

Opened:

Aug 20, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 23, 2024

Nuclear Technology & Risks

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Russia ramps up offensives on 2 fronts in Ukraine as both sides seek advantage before fall

New York Post•Jul 2, 2025

Russia ramps up offensives on 2 fronts in Ukraine as both sides seek an advantage before fall

Associated Press•Jul 2, 2025

While World Watches Iran, Putin Makes Headway in Ukraine

Newsweek•Jul 1, 2025

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