Question

Will Greg Brockman return to OpenAI following his leave of absence?

Resolved:Yes

8

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction

99.9%

(99% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99.9%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-0.0

Community Peer Score

8.4

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 22, 2024

Closes:

Feb 1, 2025

Resolves:

Feb 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 25, 2024

Artificial Intelligence

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Before 2026, will OpenAI's commercial operations cease to be governed by its nonprofit board of directors?

Will Elon Musk be removed as the Chief Executive Officer of Tesla before 2027?

Will Sam Altman be indicted before 2026?

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 22, 2024

Closes:

Feb 1, 2025

Resolves:

Feb 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 25, 2024

Artificial Intelligence

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Before 2026, will OpenAI's commercial operations cease to be governed by its nonprofit board of directors?

Will Elon Musk be removed as the Chief Executive Officer of Tesla before 2027?

Will Sam Altman be indicted before 2026?