Question
When will Claude 3.5 Opus be released?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters29
Community Prediction
>01 Jan 2025
(>01 Jan 2025 - >01 Jan 2025)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | >01 Jan 2025 | — |
| median | >01 Jan 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | >01 Jan 2025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >01 Jan 2025 | 81.5% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
58.8
Community Peer Score
74.1
Authors:
Opened:Aug 21, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 24, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Aug 21, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 24, 2024