MetaculusM

Question

Will Bangladesh hold parliamentary elections within 6 months of Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina's August 5, 2024 ouster?

Resolved :No1%

2

Total Forecasters20

Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

40.9

Community Peer Score

6.6

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 23, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Feb 6, 2025

2024 Leaderboard

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Police in Bangladesh use batons and tear gas to disperse rally by banned Islamist group

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Comments

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Authors:

Opened:

Aug 23, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Feb 6, 2025

2024 Leaderboard

Albania’s Elections Could Install Pro-America Beachhead In Europe

Federalist•Mar 6, 2025

Police in Bangladesh use batons and tear gas to disperse rally by banned Islamist group

Associated Press•Mar 7, 2025

President Yoon’s trial is tearing South Korea apart

Spectator (UK)•Mar 7, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch