19
44 forecasters
Will Russia control Pokrovsk Before 2025?
ResolvedNo
The Ukrainian military received the initial batch of new AQ 400 Scythe strike drones, with a production capacity of 100 units per month as of January 17, 2024.
Increases Likelihood
The Russian advance near Pokrovsk has stalled, with no progress made in the last six days as of September 5, 2024.
Increases Likelihood
Russia has gained almost six times as much territory in 2024 as it did in 2023, showing an increase in territorial control.
Increases Likelihood
The Russian Ministry of Defense would need to increase its monthly recruitment rates from 40,000-42,000 recruits to 50,000 recruits.
Increases Likelihood
Russia has deployed some 50,000 troops to the region as of 2024-11-19, indicating a significant military presence near Pokrovsk.
Increases Likelihood