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Question

Will Russia control Pokrovsk Before 2025?

Resolved :No0.1%
Total Forecasters39
Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 0.1%)

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50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

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Community Peer Score
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The Ukrainian military received the initial batch of new AQ 400 Scythe strike drones, with a production capacity of 100 units per month as of January 17, 2024.
Russia has deployed some 50,000 troops to the region as of 2024-11-19, indicating a significant military presence near Pokrovsk.
The Russian Ministry of Defense would need to increase its monthly recruitment rates from 40,000-42,000 recruits to 50,000 recruits.
The Russian advance near Pokrovsk has stalled, with no progress made in the last six days as of September 5, 2024.
Opened:Aug 29, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025

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