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Will another Chinese military aircraft violate Japanese territorial airspace before October 1, 2024?

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Tom_Metaculus

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On how many days in the following years will China carry out “reactionary” air incursions into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

52%

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

10%

Comments

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Authors:

Tom_Metaculus

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

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On how many days in the following years will China carry out “reactionary” air incursions into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

52%

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

10%

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Will another Chinese military aircraft violate Japanese territorial airspace before October 1, 2024?

Make a Prediction

On how many days in the following years will China carry out “reactionary” air incursions into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

Comments

On how many days in the following years will China carry out “reactionary” air incursions into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

On how many days in the following years will China carry out “reactionary” air incursions into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

On how many days in the following years will China carry out “reactionary” air incursions into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?