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213 forecasters

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213 forecasters

Regulation of AI

Before 2025, will laws be in place requiring that AI systems that emulate humans must reveal to people that they are AI?

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2 comments78 forecasters

By 2035, will NIH, ERC, NSF, or Horizon require AI use reporting in grants?

26 comments1.5k forecasters

AI given rights in US before 2035

4 comments72 forecasters

Open-source AI regulation 2028

2 comments118 forecasters

AI-authored paper published at NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR before 2028?

2 comments7 forecasters

When will moral patienthood of AI systems be acknowledged?

Current estimate

1 comment167 forecasters

AI safety checks mandated before Jan 20, 2029?

21 comments814 forecasters

ΑI safety law enacted in the US in 2026?

3 comments34 forecasters

Mandatory GCR-Focused Evals for AI Systems