48
820 forecasters
Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
21%chance
Top Key Factors
Trump administration asks OpenAI to stagger release of new model, The Information reportsca.finance.yahoo.com•Jun 25, 2026
Increases Likelihood
Watered down EO reduces likelihood
Decreases Likelihood
Trump administration asks OpenAI to stagger release of new model, The Information reportsca.finance.yahoo.com•Jun 25, 2026
Increases Likelihood
Watered down EO reduces likelihood
Decreases Likelihood