Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
11
75
forecasters
13
11 comments
75 forecasters
Technology
1 more...
Self-driving car to beat a self-driving truck in making the first cross-USA trip?
Follow
share
embed
60%
chance
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (11)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
6 comments
45 forecasters
Tesla first company with autonomous success
74%
chance
12 comments
43 forecasters
90% of US road vehicles sold in 2075 have Level 5 autonomy?
92%
chance
22 comments
32 forecasters
Driverless cars in Las Vegas in 2029
88%
chance
5 comments
29 forecasters
400 thousand robotaxis before 2032
33%
chance
0 comments
4 forecasters
Public transit in these US cities fully autonomous when?
Current estimate
Jan 2038
8 comments
64 forecasters
Who will win the bet? Gary Marcus vs Nathan Young, on Waymo vs Tesla robotaxis?
Gary Marcus win
96.2%
Nathan Young win
3.7%
Other
0.1%
107 comments
202 forecasters
Self-Driving Taxis Available to Metaculites
Tesla
08 May 2027
Any Service
31 Dec 2026
Waymo
18 Feb 2027
3 comments
10 forecasters
When will autonomous car win in Formula 1 race?
Current estimate
Feb 2039