Question

Will Starliner Calypso disintegrate in the atmosphere by September 30?

Resolved :Annulled

55 comments55

Total Forecasters30

Community Prediction

(5% - 20%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 9%

Did this actually happen?Annulled

Authors:

Tom_Metaculus

Opened:

Sep 6, 2024

Closes:

Sep 7, 2024

Resolves:

Sep 7, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 7, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tom_Metaculus

Opened:

Sep 6, 2024

Closes:

Sep 7, 2024

Resolves:

Sep 7, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 7, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2024 Leaderboard

NASA reveals shocking new plan that critics say could lead to stranded astronauts 2.0

Daily Mail•Mar 22, 2025

Inside NASA’s decision to keep astronauts in space: What’s next for Starliner spacecraft?

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Starliner astronauts are back: Butch Wilmore, Suni Williams land with Crew-9 in Florida

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Will the Boeing Starliner Commercial Crew program be canceled before its first operational flight?

38%

Will SpaceX re-use a Starship booster before October 1, 2025?

74%