Question
What will AfD's vote share be in the 2024 Brandenburg state election?
Resolved:29.23Total Forecasters52
Community Prediction
28.4
(26.9 - 30)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <20 | 0.4% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 26.94 | — |
| median | 28.42 | — |
| upper 75% | 29.98 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >40 | 0.2% | — |
What was the final result?29.23
Community Baseline Score
57.4
Community Peer Score
11.8
Authors:
Opened:Sep 10, 2024
Closes:Sep 22, 2024
Resolves:Oct 3, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 13, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Sep 10, 2024
Closes:Sep 22, 2024
Resolves:Oct 3, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 13, 2024