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Will Czech Republic's Prime Minister Andrej Babiš experience a significant leadership disruption between 20 June 2019 and 22 August 2019?

This question was generated from the IARPA Global Forecasting Challenge 2.

A "significant leadership disruption" includes confirmed reports that the leader has:

  • resigned (including the issuance of a resignation that will take effect at a later date),
  • lost a confidence vote,
  • formally left office,
  • died,
  • been forcibly removed from office for 10 or more consecutive days,
  • fled or been exiled from office for 10 or more consecutive days,
  • been medically incapacitated or hospitalized for 10 or more consecutive days,
  • been missing (whereabouts unknown) for 10 or more consecutive days.


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