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- August 15, 2017
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Forecaster Stats
Predictions
12863 predictions on 5136 questions (3435 resolved)
Comments
265 comments on 189 questions
Tournaments and Projects
- Alt-Protein Tournament
- Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
- Trade Signal Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Virginia Lightning Round Tournament
- Metaculus Journal
- Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
- Global Trends 2022
- FluSight Challenge 2021/22
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- White Hat Cyber
- Cultured Meat Tournament
- Biosecurity Tournament
- Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
- FluSight Challenge 2022/23
- Keep Virginia Safe II
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
1007 unique forecasts on authored questions
Popular Questions
- Will Israel be the fourth country to soft-land a spacecraft on the Moon, if they do so before 2026? (355 forecasts)
- Between 23 May 2019 and 30 July 2019, will the Spanish monarch appoint a President of the Government? (178 forecasts)
- Will Iran execute or be targeted in a national military attack between 6 June 2019 and 5 October 2019? (174 forecasts)
- Between 16 May 2019 and 30 July 2019, for two consecutive Saturdays, will fewer than 5,000 cumulative daily protesters participate in "Yellow Vests" protests across France? (163 forecasts)
- Before 30 November 2019, will an Ebola health worker be injured or killed in an attack against an Ebola facility inside the Central African Republic, South Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, or Tanzania? (161 forecasts)