Question

Will a Claude model be ranked #1 overall on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of the 3rd Quarter of 2024?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters26
Community Prediction
14%
(11.3% - 22%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 14%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
0.0
Community Peer Score
0.0
Opened:Sep 16, 2024
Closes:Sep 17, 2024
Resolves:Oct 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 17, 2024
Include Bots:Yes