conditional
if yes
if no
Make a Prediction
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) | US Annual Southwest Land Border Encounters? (2028) |
|---|---|
| My Prediction: - | |
| My Prediction: - |
CDF
The question "Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Donald Trump)" has closed, so these conditionals are closed for forecasting. They will resolve when the question "How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection in the following fiscal years? (2028)" resolves.
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <250k | 4.9% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 1.164M | — |
| median | 1.73M | — |
| upper 75% | 2.265M | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >5M | 0.4% | — |
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Sep 25, 2024
Closed:Nov 7, 2024
Scheduled resolution:Oct 30, 2026
Authors:
Opened:Sep 25, 2024
Closed:Nov 7, 2024
Scheduled resolution:Oct 30, 2026