conditional
if yes
if no
Make a Prediction
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) | US vs. OECD PISA Math Scores? (2029) |
|---|---|
| My Prediction: - | |
| My Prediction: - |
CDF
The question "Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Donald Trump)" has closed, so these conditionals are closed for forecasting. They will resolve when the question "What will be the difference between the United States and OECD average PISA mathematics test scores in the following years? (2029)" resolves.
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <-50 | 0.5% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | -14.9 | — |
| median | -8.912 | — |
| upper 75% | -2.082 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >50 | 0.2% | — |
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Sep 25, 2024
Closed:Nov 7, 2024
Scheduled resolution:Nov 1, 2030
Authors:
Opened:Sep 25, 2024
Closed:Nov 7, 2024
Scheduled resolution:Nov 1, 2030