conditional
if yes
if no
Make a Prediction
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) | Russia Expanded Territory in Ukraine in 2026? |
|---|---|
| My Prediction: — | |
| My Prediction: — |
The question "Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Donald Trump)" has closed, so these conditionals are closed for forecasting. They will resolve when the question "Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?" resolves.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Nov 2, 2023
Closed:Nov 7, 2024
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?
5%
If Trump is re-elected, will he achieve a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine war during his term?
65%
Will Ukraine lose non-Crimean territory by February 2029, compared to 2013?
99%
Authors:
Opened:Nov 2, 2023
Closed:Nov 7, 2024
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?
5%
If Trump is re-elected, will he achieve a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine war during his term?
65%
Will Ukraine lose non-Crimean territory by February 2029, compared to 2013?
99%