Question

What is the probability that the weather in Warwick, RI will fall below 43 degrees F at any point between now and next meeting (10/10)?

Resolved:No

no comments0

Total Forecasters27

Community Prediction

13%

(10% - 15%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 13%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

72.6

Community Peer Score

20.7

Authors:

quinoa

Opened:

Sep 26, 2024

Closes:

Oct 10, 2024

Resolves:

Oct 10, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 29, 2024

Brown University Forecasting Team

2024 Leaderboard

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35.4%

Will New York City hit 100 degrees Fahrenheit before August 1, 2025?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

43%

Authors:

quinoa

Opened:

Sep 26, 2024

Closes:

Oct 10, 2024

Resolves:

Oct 10, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 29, 2024

Brown University Forecasting Team

2024 Leaderboard

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35.4%

Will New York City hit 100 degrees Fahrenheit before August 1, 2025?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

43%