Group
Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026?
Forecast Timeline
Make a Prediction
| Deaths | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
100 | yes | |||
1,000 | 92% | |||
3,000 | 22% | |||
Resolved Jun 14, 2025
Community Baseline Score
23.8
Community Peer Score
7.7
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jun 19, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Authors:
Opened:Jun 19, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
