Question
How many Metaculus users that ranked in the top 16 in the Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup will remain in the top 16 at the end of Q4 2024 Quarterly Cup?
Resolved:10Total Forecasters43
Community Prediction
7.95
(7.02 - 8.88)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 7.015 | — |
| median | 7.951 | — |
| upper 75% | 8.883 | — |
What was the final result?10
Community Baseline Score
30.6
Community Peer Score
47.5
Authors:
Opened:Oct 30, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 7, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 2, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Oct 30, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 7, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 2, 2024