15
25 forecasters
Will assisted dying for terminally ill adults be legal for the majority of United Kingdom residents before 2030?
6%chance
Top Key Factors
Implementation period extends timeline
Decreases Likelihood
Bill running out of time in this session
Decreases Likelihood
MPs vote against legalising assisted dying in England and Walestheguardian.com•Sep 11, 2026
Decreases Likelihood
Labour MP Lauren Edwards to bring assisted dying bill back to the Commonstheguardian.com•Jun 14, 2026
Increases Likelihood
Parliament Acts may bypass Lords
Increases Likelihood
Implementation period extends timeline
Decreases Likelihood
Bill running out of time in this session
Decreases Likelihood
MPs vote against legalising assisted dying in England and Walestheguardian.com•Sep 11, 2026
Decreases Likelihood
Labour MP Lauren Edwards to bring assisted dying bill back to the Commonstheguardian.com•Jun 14, 2026
Increases Likelihood
Parliament Acts may bypass Lords
Increases Likelihood